Monday , 29 April 2024
enfrit
Since Leonardo Simao is pledging an Andry Rajoelina willing to lead the country in a self made republic, the dictating authorities are holding the end of tunnel as close. The international recognition is within reach. The SADC led mediation, so far uncompromising stand putsches or other unconstitutional leading power change, would have operated a U-turn justified by the evolution of the national and international political balance.

Malagasy crisis: the international community´s alleged new stand

The explanation obviously stems from the TGV. The North African events would have led the international community to accept that a people is legally able to bring a president down. Neither the mayor of Tunis, nor the mayor of Cairo has however led any insurgency and self proclaimed president in order to topple the ruling regime. The transitional in Madagascar is actually the one repressing the people´s demonstrated opposition. The North African movement is anyway being depicted as an emulation of Madagascar´s putsch.

 

The TGV power in Madagascar argues furthermore that it has long tackled the recovery of constitutional order. The referendum held on November 17th, 2010 legalized the power of Rajoelina Andryand especially made him  potential candidate by altering the Constitution at will. Leonardo Simao is holding this unilateral fact into account. Another casted constitutional referendum held by a democratic transition is for sure a difficult thing. We might have to make do with a settlement merely made legal by a dictatorial leader´s signature after two years of totalitarian regime.  

 

The way could be paved for Andry Rajoelina. The one who failed to keep his word given in the run out of  the Maputo agreement actually dared to blame the international community of arguably emulating him, as he is short from being recognized and granted more power than a legal president. In the end, the African Union´s principle of not recognizing any misuse of democratic means to grant legitimacy to a governmental unconstitutional change is about to be dropped.  

 

The African U-turn would be a sign of victory for the Malagasy putsch makers who efficiently baited some allied countries. The dictating authority is pulling advantage from a self imposing recognition . On top of the chart, France doesn’t hide its cards. The French ubiquity is looking like decentralized cooperation, from lack of rights to do more . Simao´s pressure o to provide a roadmap without neither consensus nor inclusiveness is allowing the SADC and theAU to save their reputation. 

 
Why being so hurried in drawing this unilateral transition to an end? The presidential power conquered and granted to the mayor of Antananarivo was “freely” validated by the HCC, and has been lasting 24 months. Andry Rajoelina  technically proved to have failed from installing a democratic 4th republic. He is basically supposed to leave the power on March 22nd, 2011. Meanwhile, the young TGV would have undisputedly reigned, installed a transitional constitution by a simple order and enforced validation of his power without time limit.