Friday , 26 April 2024
enfrit
The HAT, Andry Rajoelina and his political clique have been spending the latest four years with little hit and runs back and forth to enforce its will. Its showdown with the National Unity Prime Minister ended on a defeat. The government chief was asked to resign if capitalizing the transitional leader’s will was proving too hard. It was, so the Prime Minister remained in charge. The apportionment and the redistricting processes are running, and the boss is Omer Beriziky

A transitional prime minister actually neutral, and electoral suspense to democracy

The transitional leader was keen on turning his will to invert the electoral course into another accomplished fact again. It would have insured a certain numerical advantage to his supporters in the next parliament, and drawn them away from a pending rebellion likely to lead to further political complications, could this not come true. Andry Rajoelina complained about how difficult coexistence was proving, and accused the current government chief of jeopardizing the electoral process as a whole
The stakes for the Rajoelina sphere
Not that long ago, Rajoelina & Co. had not any doubt on dominating the next National Assembly. But Andry Rajoelina was forced to withdraw from the presidential race. His party’s certainties vanished with his presidential ambitions. So, in order to secure this advantage again, Rajoelina tried to upset the decided course of the elections while he has enough power to expect to do so. He did not reckon with such a grim determination from the National Unity Prime Minister. Omer Beriziky did what it takes to avoid any role into the completion of another accomplished fact, another unilateral fact which would have upset the political game again.
The apportionment process dedicated to the next legislative elections was completed in a record time, only not before February 8th so that voters could have been officially called to cast their ballots on May 8th, on the presidential election day. The current electoral course will be good to the finalists of the presidential elections. The TGV’s chances to be one them are dwindling with every single day, for lack of any strong champion.
So, the transitional Beriziky government agreed on 151 deputies, 32 more ones than those of the latest elected parliament. The rise is the result of representing capital city and former province capital cities by two instead of one deputy. The rule defines that one elected deputy represents 250 000 citizens. It is the case nearly everywhere. The legislative elections will take place on the day of the presidential election’s ultimate round.
Money time for the next Malagasy democracy
Considering the current stand of the situation, the knock out round on July 24th will certainly not lead to the knighting of a legal president through a clean electoral sweep. The pending second round will take place together with legislative elections on September 25th. These weeks will become crucial for the next shape of a Malagasy democracy so much besmirched and trodden to the ground by a four years long rule of a militarily supported putsch. The Malagasy political canvas is likely to sum up to a confrontation between a mere couple of political lines, two visions, two figureheads, in a battle for the National Assembly’s seats.
From August 28th, on which the results of the presidential election’s knock out round get published, to September 25th, local citizens will experience a second to none double electoral campaign. Some party champions will fall in the presidential race. And they will not be allowed to look for consolation in any comfortable deputy position. But will their legislative election candidates’ chances suffer from such a defeat? That is the question