After June 26th: Snapshot of the political dialogue

At present, the declarations of good intentions contrast with the more and more radical speeches either from the Rajoelina regime or from the three other parties, Ravalomanana’s, Ratsiraka’s and Zafy’s. A point seems to rally everyone: the dialogue must resume between Madagascans. 

Andry Rajoelina is isolated but has his palm on the essential: the power. As a sign of good will, the president of the authority of the transition declared” to be ready to pardon Marc Ravalomanana “. A way for the unanimously qualified “putschist” to take a meaningful advantage in the negotiation. 

The HAT already has a transition charter proposal obviously very advantageous for Rajoelina and fundamentally aiming to politically rule president Marc Ravalomanana out. Ny Hasina Andriamanjato, one of the negotiators from the Rajoelina side reiterated that his side remains opened to the dialogue. “The HAT is ready to converse even if the next stage takes place in Brussels “.  

The Zafy party was always the most conciliatory and most determined to push the negotiation process to the end. Finally, the professor and ex-president is considered as the voice of reason. Albert Zafy recommends a general amnesty and the development of a consensus charter. He estimates that” the transition is not established” as long as a consensus isn’t found so that all parties participate in the management of the national business. 

As much as the Zafy side, the Ravalomanana block wants that all parties on the same equal footing in the negotiation. The president still in exile in South Africa reiterated his availability to negotiate. Single shade on the painting, the categorical HAT refusal of Marc Ravalomanana’s return to the country. 

The Ratsiraka side, although more discreet, doesn’t close the door to the dialogue. For the Arema party, either that of Didier Ratsiraka or Pierrot Rajaonarivelo, the stake is not the management of the transition but the aftermaths. In this aims, the question of the general amnesty is paramount. 

The charter of the transition is at the heart of the Madagascan crisis resolution expected by the international community. The consensus and the general amnesty were the blocking hurdles of the negotiations. The HAT doesn’t give up a square inch on president Ravalomanana’s exclusion in spite of putting the idea of an only possible “inclusive transition” forward. The HAT deigns to invite some elements from the other parties…in short to pick the crumbs.