After Pretoria: where are the mobilities?

Andry Rajoelina is not going to return to Pretoria. He previously confirmed that he would be getting there only to confirm the blind signature of the French deal. Who did let him believe such a thing, is no more the issue. Why did the authoritarian regime’s leader go there? He gave himself indications of the answer in Pretoria: “The international community now knows who the stumbling block is coming from”, he said. Although believing to be under the French protection, Andry Rajoelina has had to be put to the test anyway, with no better results.  

In spite of one year on top of power, the former elected mayor of Antananarivo is still behaving like a “revolutionary Che” who reversed a corrupted president for good reasons. Andry Rajoelina finally drew substantial advantages from his lack of international recognition: now he does not have to behave like a genuine chief of state. His claims are still the advertising messages meant to shake the crowds. “I am in Pretoria to settle issues for 20 millions of Malagasy and not for some of them”, he said. Andry Rajoelina is definitely reluctant to give to the ousted president Marc Ravalomanana’s conditions, particularly to the possibility to come back home, political amnesty and the possibility to contest presidential elections.  

Marc Ravalomanana never ever hinted any knowledge of the French foregone deal. Besides, it would have been  very much amazing regarding the outsted president’s rapports with France and his  inclination to the African Union led mediation. He is holding the Pretorian stage as the opportunity to resume negotiations and the removal of stumbling blocks. The Ravalomanana mobility is holding the issue as an African one, and France as not entitled to poke its nose inside it.  

According to the ousted president, presidential elections have to come true in priority and not the legislative constituent assembly. Andry Rajoelina reported that Marc Ravalomanana proposed to amend the Constitution, lower the presidential runner up’s legal age to 30 years old for the sake of a fair polling challenge. The young one would have judged the proposal scandalous for allegedly believing such a role not to be entitled to a couple of individuals. However, Andry Rajoelina seemingly capitalized in backstage what he is denying on the front stage when altering on his own the Constitution in December 2009.  

In Pretoria, Didier Ratsiraka was less talkative than usual. The former presidents however turned out some ideas in order to find a political settlement to the crisis. He equally turned down the french deal which does not reflect the trnasition’s wanted joint management. The Ratsiraka mobility is calling upon the reinstatement of the national unity Prime Minister Prof Eugene Mangalaza, previously designated in the run of the Maputo process, and he holding of elections. General Camille Vital is off the scheme. 

The problem, according to Didier Ratsiraka, is in no way the elections, but the preparations. The admiral challenged the integration of foreign members in the electoral commission. As usual, the Zafy mobility was the most discreet. The professor’s clan is calling upon the strict implementation of the Maputo and Addis Ababa agreements and the quick set up of a national reconciliation committee.