International sanctions: the HAT appearing unflinching and slightly challenging

The HAT is putting all of its money on boosting the bids, and consequently hurries series of unilateral measures out, as the African Union and international Contact Group’s ultimatum is nearing. Next to the new electoral code passed by a Cabinet meeting, the dictating authorities are literally racing against the clock, defending their unilateral roadmap, their so said solution to the crisis definitely ruling the Maputo agreements signed by Andry Rajoelina and the three other political mobility leaders. The composition of the national independent electoral Commission to be announced shortly before the sanctions related verdict is serving as one more argument in the bag.  

The civil society representatives have followed suit; those required by the HAT agreed on  integrating the CENI. The HAT is, then, compelled to pick favorites from the opposition’s political parties as well as from the three mobilities. This widened opposition is supposed to be the sugar for a far too bitter cup of coffee. The order of magistrates provided a name as an outcome to a vote. On the other hand, the HAT proposed the name of a former president of the journalists’ order and Prime Minister Camille Vital’s advisor. For lack of time to organize a general assembly, consultation of the media world has been dropped. On the other hand, the political calculation is, this time around, having the upper hand on good faith since the order of journalists has currently an acting president elected under…Ravalomanana.  

The HAT is increasingly finding it definitely impossible to force the three other mobilities to give in to its Teny ifampierana. While patching its so named widened consensus up, the Rajoelina mobility is pretending to remain true to the Maputo charter’s mindset while expecting to do away with its constraints. The HAT national unity government woud be directed by Camille Vital,  The HAT Prime minister whose link with the Ratsiraka Mobility has been denied by Didier Ratsiraka himself. The home grown solution laid by the HAT is aiming at kicking the three other mobilities signatory of the consensual and inclusive transition’s charter out beyond the touch line. But the Rajoelina mobility led process of pledging legality to a legislative election aiming at putting a constituent assembly in place  does necessarily not serve its leader’s will.  

This vote is logically being boycotted, since it aims at legalizing the imposed transition, and at avoiding the showdown of referendum for a second Rajoelina constitution, the first of them being the governmental reshuffle ordered in December 2009. The HAT Prime minister, then, produced bold statements one day to the African Union led ultimatum end. In summary, Camille Vital emphasized the organization of an election, and confirmed that U-turn was no more an option. No matter boldness or defiance, the TGV is in no way closer from any kind of exit. 

Even though the international sanctions are neither meaning “the end of the world” nor the end of the HAT, they are the sign of the beginning of a new crisis. Influential members of the Rajoelina mobility are vociferating vivid threats against “Madagascans daring calling upon sanctions against fellow Madagascans”. The HAT is, actually on its way to increase pressure, if not repression, against the reactionary front, particularly against the Ravalomanana, Ratsiraka and Zafy mobilities. The HAT Prime minister Vital is clearly displaying the HAT defiance against those sanctions, saying loud that such things would, allegedly, not be enough to force it to comply with Maputo.