Wednesday , 1 May 2024
enfrit
The document signed in Ivato is a roadmap actually far from leading to any settlement of the crisis. These rules of engagement in the transition are no match for the heap of contradicting interpretations. There is in the end still a very long way to go prior to reaching any shadow of common ground, namely on the highly sensitive power sharing issue.

Who is the new Prime minister: the other unsolved equation

The HAT-TGV government led by the general Vital did not resign as basically required by the signing of the roadmap. The Rajoelina sphere´s ten groups, of which three dissident ones from the Ravalomanana sphere, pondered the Prime Minister´s appointment related issue on their own, and consequently turned out three names per group. 

The choice is theoretically quite wide for the HAT´s leader. When shrinking the Rajoelina sphere while enlarging its allies´ ranks, the imposed ruling power is violating the roadmap it signed. 

The national unity prime minister must absolutely not be part of the transitional president´s sphere of influence, according to the jointly signed roadmap. Could the Ravalomanana, Zafy and Ratsiraka spheres ever fail from finding common ground and putting a single name forth, they would be allowed to propose three names to Andry Rajoelina. 

The opposition´s three spheres are however not intending to grant the privilege to chose to any massively challenged putsch making puppet. 

The HAT and the Rajoelina sphere is thereupon being summoned to step back and accept the Prime minister proposed by the opposition. Didier Ratsiraka´s party did not sign the roadmap and confirmed its reluctance to take part into the transition. The Zafy sphere signed but challenges any ” potential legitimacy for Andry “. Merely the Ravalomanana sphere is appearing bound to endorse the Prime minister´s role. 

The ruling power and its allies are straining to keep the actually openly Rajoelina supportive Camille Vital in charge as prime minister, for the third time in a row. Lurking behind the general´s argued political neutrality would be quite a dared challenge after a couple of years long dictatorship. 

The prerogative of appointing a national unity government chief is apparently being held as entitled to Andry Rajoelina only. No one else would have any say. 

The opposition´s three spheres have always been opposing a non elected leader´s right to appoint government staff and parliamentarians. Political disagreement remains. The crisis might well be evolving, but in no way towards any settlement. 

Three weeks after the signature of the SADC´s made roadmap in Antananarivo on September 16th, 2011, its implementation is more on its way to become a faraway dream than on schedule. Personal interpretations are infecting the process. 

The first sign of the lack of a political agreement was the HAT´s and its armed forces´ show when attempting to arrest Marc Ravalomanana in South Africa. Not only the roadmap´s article 20 is actually being corrupted for the sake of turning a new crisis out within the main crisis