Saving private Monja? The opposite would definitely be easing things: Andry Rajoelina would be confirmed as the Transition’s president whatever the Ravalomanana mobility’s reluctance and finally with Didier Ratsiraka’s blessing. The Prime minister’s job would be given then to Mrs. Ramisandrazana from the Ratsiraka mobility. For a Monima party actively recalling their leader’s commitment to oust the elected president through the popular struggle, such a script is totally off the point.
According to the Monima, too many concessions have already been made by the Rajoelina mobility in Maputo. Those are particularily concerning the specific agreements on the Marc Ravalomanana and Didier Ratsiraka cases. Prime minister Roindefo’s party is considering that an endorsement of the Transition’s structure in its current shape would have been the due counterpart from both other mobilities for those agreements. The party used to take such general endorsement for granted after the signature of the Maputo I agreements
Who’s to blame then? The Monima party is infuriated against the international community’s representatives, as are the other smaller parties and groupings from the Forces of Change loyal the Rajoelina mobility. It is indeed pointing at the international Contact Group for restoring Ratsiraka and Ravalomanana mobilities back on track and for providing them with a certain upper hand.
In order to thwart Maputo II, the Monima strategy comes up to play down the weight of the Ravalomanana and Ratsiraka mobilities, the former threatening Rajoelina’s position, and the latter, targeting Monja Roindefo. To serve such an end, it is displaying that the Arema founded by Didier Ratsiraka is, to this day, divided in four, of which the Matotra Arema, the Pierrot Rajaonarivelo wing, the DHD and the branch loyal to the admiral.
This argument of division is also valid for the Ravalomanana mobility, whose scarce TIM party figures are currently involved in the present transitional process. The conclusion appears obvious for a Monima party official: « Both of these mobilities are irrelevant now ». It is necessary to say that the Monima is currently considering itself henceforth as a heavy weight party. Monja Roindefo’s 0,01% score during the presidential election back in December 2006 is history.
According to Roindefo’s party, the international community would be guilty of economic and political pressuring on Madagascar’s authorities. « We must not fear the lack of international recognition since we can find other countries to help us », claimed a top Monima official. In clear words, Monja Roindefo would worth to undergo all the impending sanctions risked by the nation, could any consensual transition regime fail from being set. The Monima doesn’t have the weapons to lay claim to top the country through elections, no wonder if it is clinging to transition.