Politics

The amnesty draft expected to bring national reconciliation back has been passed by both chambers of the transitional parliament dominated by Rajoelina’s sphere. The result is not surprising considering that not a single parliamentarian has ever been elected. The TGV made law happens to be putting the odd ones out without having to extensively name them. The Ravalomanana sphere expressed its opposition and withdrew from the "absurd" vote, taking away by so doing the precious inclusiveness. Lire la suite »

Now that the time has come for the police forces to assess how good they have been preserving security and social peace in Antananarivo, the macabre murder which recently took place at General Claude Ramananarivo’s home ruined any potentially good balance sheet. Do the armed forces have to face up to their demons again? The crime does bear so many similarities with a plot. The former state police’s commander actually completed his duty regarding political events into which the army was largely involved. Lire la suite »

The amnesty law definitely happens to be the key to the Malagasy crisis created by putsch in 2009. The related political negotiations had moreover quite a poor start. The ultimate goal remains the presidential election; President Marc Ravalomanana and national reconciliation. In order to settle the issue, the SADC certainly produced a memorandum which is however being interpreted the other way. Lire la suite »

The short visit paid by the Troika and the SADC experts in Antananarivo proved not decisive. It was rather the first episode of a consultation process focusing on the amnesty bill. The memorandum drafted by the delegation led by Marius Fransman will not yet the law deemed to settle the crisis. The transitional parliament will be the one entitled to the last say. Lire la suite »

The current delegation of legal experts and Troika members sent by the SADC is not expecting to settle the Malagasy crisis right away as a whole. Lowering tensions might well be widely accepted, but reconciliation is definitely not, for enmity is deeply poled between political adversaries. The amnesty bill comes up to a tool deemed to rule the odd ones out. Lire la suite »

Where is Rajoelina and what does he intrigue? So sounds many Malagascans’ question of the month. February was characterized by unprecedented political aggressiveness; the HAT’s leader puts up a low profile in face of stacking up social problems. Although being directly targeted by criticism, his reaction sums up to pressuring his ministers. Lire la suite »

The HAT ignored the SADC’s latest deadline for restoring appeasement and voting an amnesty bill, and turned the implementation of the roadmap into a dead end. No other takes over but home based slovenly talks. The idea of ​​a new transition is gaining ground, now that fair power sharing and consensus were kept out of the deal Lire la suite »

The HAT and the Rajoelina sphere will be jointly rejecting the SADC’s wishes. They will not concede any amnesty bill. The parliament openly cast the issue away, and its president Mamy Rakotoarivelo could not oppose it. Will the electoral code and commission be the accomplished facts deemed to do away with an unsettled crisis? Wining time seems to be the single relevant stake. Lire la suite »

The Rehavana case, related to the magistrate kidnapped and beaten to death in custody by police officers, reached a fully unexpected scale. Madagascar´s Union of Magistrates officially challenges the police department and the ruling power for the sake of their late colleague. It actually intends to avenge the past humiliations and, from now on, have a say in the court of big boys. Lire la suite »

The SADC might well have summoned the Malagasy political leaders, namely the HAT and other movements, to join Pretoria, but lies concerning the meeting´s outcome are widespread. Interpretations are once more as usual strongly contradicting, and cannot return any reliable explanation of the truth. So, only one thing is so far to be held for granted. HAT realized a couple of things: it will from now on find it hard to impose unilateral decisions, no matter what its army means about it, and even harder, if not yet impossible, to oppose Marc Ravalomanana´s return home. Rajoelina and his movement have an option left: saving time by controlling a selective amnesty. Lire la suite »