The HAT in a stalemate: State on decline

The Geneva meeting will not come true. The lack of consensus has made the stillborn meeting, meant to be the ultimate one to solve the Malagasy crisis, its first victim. A common ground about the location can hardly be found, needless to say how miraculous would be the emergence of an agreement on the Transitional Charter’s implementation. Either a simple meeting or a new negotiation round, the event has been postponed on Marc Ravalomanana’s request. The ousted president requires the resolution of the crisis and the related negotiations to be completed in Africa.  

The Rajoelina mobility and the HAT had required the opposite: anywhere else but not in Africa, the area being allegedly favourable to Marc Ravalomanana. The latter was yet eager to accept Berlin as meeting place. This time around as well, the terrain would allegedly be favourable to him because of his friendship with the German president. As far as the Zafy mobility is concerned, the most appropriated place to solve the crisis would be Antananarivo. The Rajoelina mobility energetically opposed it again, refusing to figure out both exiled former presidents’ return on home soil. Andry Rajoelina is yet displaying signs of impatience. He is asking for the next failure to attend leaders’ meeting to be punished by casting the guilty mobility aside from the Transition’s management. 

Under the influence of irritation, Andry Rajoelina is, once again, attempted to do without national unity. Currently on top of an unmanageable power, the young president of the HAT got his credibility seriously undermined by his Prime minister as well. Many ones would have liked the State Council to have kicked out Monja Roindefo, and de facto legitimized Eugene Mangalaza as the new Prime minister. The Justice Minister Christine Razanamahasoa is very unhappy, and hinting the presence of political incentives behind the reprieve granted to Monja Roindefo. She is, therefore, pressing this institution to take a decision as soon as possible, at the risk of jeopardizing magistrates’ independence. 

When Andry Rajoelina still had to make for Geneva, he has entrusted the power, not to one the two Prime ministers, but to the vice Prime minister in charge of the Interior. Mrs. Cécile Manorohanta was short from being in control of the country. In face of the State Council’s decision comforting Prime minister Roindefo’s power for at least one more week, the president of the HAT had rather leave neither the country nor any free gateway to his friend and now adversary. In expectation of either the next mobility leaders’ meeting of the State Council’s decision, the executive power is still controlled by the Rajoelina-Roindefo duet. Each of them has his own mini-mobility within the government, but neither of them is in control of the situation.